Wall Street Drifts Around Its Record Highs.
The S&P 500 was 0.2% higher in morning trading, coming off its fifth winning week in the last six, and flitting around its record set on Thursday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up by 3 points, or less than 0.1%, after setting its record Friday. The Nasdaq composite was 0.2% higher, as of 9:55 a.m. Eastern time.
A gain of 5.9% for Constellation Energy was helping to lead the market. The stock was adding to its surge of 22.3% from Friday after the company said it would restart the Three Mile Island nuclear plant and sell the power to Microsoft.
Intel rose 2.1% as it continued to climb following reports that Qualcomm is interested in buying parts or all of the chip company. Qualcomm was flat.
Financial markets have generally been romping higher after the Federal Reserve last week cut its main interest rate for the first time in more than four years by an unusually large amount. The hope is that as it continues to cut interest rates, the boost given to the U.S. economy will help it avoid a recession.
But some critics say the Federal Reserve may be moving too late, with the job market already slowing, and call stock prices too high.
A report on Monday morning suggested U.S. business activity is not growing as quickly as economists expected, mostly because of a continued downturn in manufacturing. The preliminary report from S&P Global said U.S. manufacturing shrank more severely in September than in August and hit a 15-month low. It’s been one of the parts of the economy hurt most by high interest rates.
The overall figures suggest a U.S. economy that’s still growing at a healthy rate, according to Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence. “But some warning lights are flashing, notably in terms of the dependence on the service sector for growth, as manufacturing remained in decline, and the worrying drop in business confidence.”
He also pointed to subdued activity among businesses given uncertainty heading into the U.S. elections in November.
Several reports coming this week could offer more context about where the U.S. economy stands. One on Thursday will offer the final reading for the U.S. economy’s growth in the spring and another on Friday will look at how much U.S. consumers are spending.
Such economic reports, particularly on the job market, are taking top priority on Wall Street because the main fear is now a slowdown in the job market. It’s a notable shift from prior years when the most attention was on anything related to inflation.
But now that inflation has come down substantially from its peak two summers ago, the Fed has shifted gears.
It feels less need to keep rates high to slow the economy enough to stifle inflation, hence last week’s cut of half a percentage point to its main interest rate. And it feels more pressure to prop up the job market and overall economy, hence its commitment to keep cutting interest rates this year and next.
In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury rose to 3.77% from 3.74% late Friday. The yield on the two-year Treasury, which moves more with expectations for Fed action, edged up to 3.61% from 3.60% late Friday.
In stock markets abroad, indexes were mixed in Europe after preliminary data suggested business activity in the eurozone is weaker than economists expected. Germany’s DAX rose 0.6%, while the French CAC 40 added 0.1%.
In Asia, movements for indexes were also muted. Indexes rose 0.4% in Shanghai but slipped 0.1% in Hong Kong after China’s central bank lowered its 14-day reverse repurchase rate on Monday. That followed its decision to keep key lending rates unchanged last week when investors had been expecting a cut.