Indexes drop and yields, oil prices spike ahead of earnings and fresh economic data.

US stocks retreated from near-record highs on Monday, with all three major moving averages declining by about 1%.

Several risk factors pushed stocks lower on Monday, including a jump in interest rates and oil prices, the growing intensity of Hurricane Milton, and negative news flow for a couple of mega-cap technology stocks.

The 10-year US Treasury yield jumped back above 4% on Monday, representing its highest level in about two months. Friday’s release of the September jobs report sparked the move higher in yields.

The stronger-than-expected nonfarm payroll report showed employers added 254,000 jobs last month, crushing estimates of about 150,000. The unemployment rate also declined slightly to 4.1%.

Meanwhile, oil prices continued to surge on Monday, rising by about 4% as tensions in the Middle East continued to simmer on the first anniversary of the Hamas-led attack against Israel.

The rise in oil prices and the stronger jobs report are fanning fears of a potential rebound in inflation, which would mean fewer rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.

“After Friday’s strong employment report, the consensus might pivot to ‘no rush to ease further’ during the fall. We can’t rule out ‘higher for longer’ making a comeback this winter. We are in the none-and-done camp for the rest of this year,” Yardeni Research said in a note on Monday.

Finally, a Wells Fargo analyst downgrade of Amazon sent that stock lower by about 3%, while Alphabet shares dropped 2% after a judge ordered the company to open its app store to more competition, handing a victory to Epic Games.

Investors will turn their attention to earnings season, which kicks off this week with results from PepsiCo on Tuesday, followed by the first of the major banks on Friday.

Finally, the September CPI report is also due out this Thursday. Economists expect the CPI index to rise 2.3% year-over-year in September, down from 2.5% in August. Bank of America analysts note that an upside surprise in last month’s inflation reading has the potential to send stocks on a roller coaster this week.

Source: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-today-indexes-drop-040549738.html